# The End of the Trump Presidency Now Looms

- Link: https://lyonelkaufmann.ch/Blog/2018/04/22/the-end-of-the-trump-presidency-now-looms/
- Published: 2018-04-22T19:16:01+01:00
- Author: Lyonel Kaufmann

![](https://i0.wp.com/historynewsnetwork.org/sites/default/files/168780-akajbscdsa.
jpg?ssl=1)

The scandals surrounding President Donald Trump are metastasizing rapidly, much 
more than anyone would have thought just a few months ago.

The investigation by Robert Mueller, now 11 months in duration, has been accumulating
evidence of possible Russian collusion, obstruction of justice, abuse of power, 
violation of the emoluments clause of the Constitution, and the corruption surrounding
many members of the Trump circle, including his own children and his son-in-law,
Jared Kushner.

But then the Stormy Daniels scandal, and other related shameful episodes involving
other women became part of the equation, and the business dealings of Donald Trump
in New York State were added to the complicated situation. And now, the seizure 
of materials and records of Trump personal lawyer Michael Cohen raises the ante 
on the troubles and turmoil surrounding Donald Trump. At the same time, Trump is
without stable advice from his cabinet or others, due to the chaotic nature of a
constantly changing set of advisers, and his tendency to “shoot from the hip” not
only in tweets, but in constantly evolving views on domestic and foreign policy 
challenges.

[[

With the midterm congressional elections now less than seven months away, and with
the Republicans running scared about potential massive losses, and with more criticism
emerging from not only respectable conservatives, but also from some of his own 
loyalists, Donald Trump’s time in the Presidency seems rapidly coming toward a sudden
end.

While Republican members of Congress look unlikely to abandon him before the midterm
elections, it could still happen if Donald Trump fires Robert Muller, Rod Rosenstein,
Jeff Sessions, and others, a constant threat. New indictments by Mueller, and the
possibility of such action by the New York State Attorney General Eric Schneiderman
could be in the offing very soon. And if Trump family members were to be indicted,
it could put Trump under such pressure that possible resignation, through some form
of arranged “deal,” is not beyond imagination. If the Democrats win control of the
House of Representatives in November, impeachment action seems highly likely in 
2019, although conviction in the US Senate would be nearly impossible.

However, there is a scheduled meeting of right-wing Evangelical leaders with President
Trump on June 19, to consider strategy for the midterm elections, as this group 
is alarmed at the thought that the Trump scandals could cost them the advancement
of their religious agenda. It could be, two months from now, that gloom and doom
will set in, and cause these pastors and ministers and their allies to consider 
Trump’s resignation as preferable, as it would bring a “true believer,” Vice President
Mike Pence, to the Presidency.

One would think behind the scenes that many congressional Republicans and conservatives
would clearly prefer Pence, who is religiously devout, and does not have the drama
and controversy that Donald Trump constantly presents. With Pence, the right-wing
would not lose, but instead gain a great deal of comfort. This makes it conceivable
that we’ll see a repeat of history. When Richard Nixon proved toxic in July 1974
a delegation of congressional Republicans marched to the White House to let him 
know his base of support on Capitol Hill had collapsed.

No matter what the future scenario, America is in a constitutional crisis of greater
proportions than Watergate, and with the attendant danger of a Great Recession or
a third World War, caused by a mentally unstable and highly stressed President. 
So while it now seems likely that Trump will outlast the 492 days of President Zachary
Taylor, to be reached on May 27, 2018, once thought by this scholar to be the end
point of the Trump Presidency, it seems evident that Trump will leave office before
the 4th shortest Presidency, that of Warren G. Harding from 1921-1923, a total of
881 days. This would be Thursday, June 20, 2019.

So with 15 months down in the Trump Presidency, the chance of his leaving in the
next 14 months at the most is on the horizon.

L’article :  History News Network [https://ift.tt/2t8Z847](https://ift.tt/2t8Z847)

April 22, 2018 at 06:09PM

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