{"id":262,"date":"2007-12-13T01:02:30","date_gmt":"2007-12-13T00:02:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2007\/12\/13\/les-changements-de-climat-sont-ils-responsables-des-guerres\/"},"modified":"2007-12-13T01:02:30","modified_gmt":"2007-12-13T00:02:30","slug":"les-changements-de-climat-sont-ils-responsables-des-guerres","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2007\/12\/13\/les-changements-de-climat-sont-ils-responsables-des-guerres\/","title":{"rendered":"Les changements de climat sont-ils responsables des guerres?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div align=\"justify\">C&rsquo;est l&rsquo;excellent site d&rsquo;informations en ligne <a href=\"http:\/\/rue89.com\">Rue89<\/a> qui nous fournit cette superbe probl&eacute;matique historique, via les r&eacute;sultats d&rsquo;une recherche internationale conduite par Peter Brecke, chercheur en science politique du Georgia Institute of Technology d&rsquo;Atlanta aux Etats-Unis et dont les conclusions sont publi&eacute;es dans les <i>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences<\/i>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<div align=\"center\"><b>Et si les crises climatiques et les guerres &eacute;taient li&eacute;es ?<\/b><\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>La recherche a cr&eacute;&eacute; une base une base de donn&eacute;es de 4500 conflits qui se sont produits &agrave; travers le monde entre 1400 et 1900, puis David Zhang, chercheur en g&eacute;ologie de l&rsquo;universit&eacute; de Hong Kong a rassembl&eacute; des donn&eacute;es climatiques et des &eacute;tudiants ont collect&eacute; des informations sur la production agricole et ses prix.<\/p>\n<p>Pour autant, nous n&rsquo;aurions gu&egrave;re &agrave; nous r&eacute;jouir sur le plan des conflits du r&eacute;chauffement climatique, car Peter Brecke n&rsquo;exclut pas qu&rsquo;un r&eacute;chauffement climatique puisse avoir les m&ecirc;mes effets :<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i>\u00ab\u00a0des temp&eacute;ratures plus &eacute;lev&eacute;es sont responsables de s&eacute;cheresses qui peuvent avoir les m&ecirc;mes effets : baisse des ressources naturelles et violences pour se les approprier\u00a0\u00bb.<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Le r&eacute;sum&eacute; de la recherche dans <a href=\"http:\/\/rue89.com\">Rue89<\/a>: <a href=\"http:\/\/rue89.com\/2007\/11\/21\/les-changements-de-climat-sont-ils-responsables-des-guerres\">Les changements de climat sont-ils responsables des guerres?<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C&rsquo;est l&rsquo;excellent site d&rsquo;informations en ligne Rue89 qui nous fournit cette superbe probl&eacute;matique historique, via les r&eacute;sultats d&rsquo;une recherche internationale conduite par Peter Brecke, chercheur en science politique du Georgia Institute of Technology d&rsquo;Atlanta aux Etats-Unis et dont les conclusions sont publi&eacute;es dans les Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: Et si les crises [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_import_markdown_pro_load_document_selector":0,"_import_markdown_pro_submit_text_textarea":"","_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-262","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nouvelles-de-lhistoire","8":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/signature_lk2.jpg?resize=600%2C184&ssl=1","featured_image_src_square":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/signature_lk2.jpg?resize=600%2C184&ssl=1","author_info":{"display_name":"Lyonel Kaufmann","author_link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/author\/lyonelk\/"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/signature_lk2.jpg?fit=658%2C184&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1rJVM-4e","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":19167,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2022\/10\/11\/infoclio-faconner-lavenir-prospective-et-sciences-historiques-04-11-2022\/","url_meta":{"origin":262,"position":0},"title":"InfoClio : Fa\u00e7onner l\u2019avenir ? Prospective et sciences historiques (04.11.2022)","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"11 octobre 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Sc\u00e9narios, pr\u00e9visions, trends, simulations \u2013 Les usages de la prospective se sont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s dans l\u2019apr\u00e8s-guerre et connaissent actuellement un nouvel essor. Le secteur priv\u00e9, la recherche et l\u2019administration con\u00e7oivent des projections d\u2019avenir afin de faire face aux d\u00e9fis actuels : pr\u00e9voir les cons\u00e9quences du r\u00e9chauffement climatique, r\u00e9pondre aux incertitudes li\u00e9es\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Histoire savante&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Histoire savante","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/didactique\/histoire-savante\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/08-1_infoclio_programm-2022_ohnelogo_transp_0_0.png?fit=239%2C337&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12846,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2017\/03\/01\/bp43mep-isidore-une-plateforme-dacces-aux-donnees-numeriques-des-shs\/","url_meta":{"origin":262,"position":1},"title":"BP43MEP : Isidore, une plateforme d\u2019acc\u00e8s aux donn\u00e9es num\u00e9riques des SHS","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"1 mars 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Dans le cadre de la pr\u00e9paration au m\u00e9moire professionnel et \u00e0 la suite de la deuxi\u00e8me s\u00e9ance consacr\u00e9e \u00e0 la recherche documentaire (RERO, recherche par sujet, Cairn), organis\u00e9e par la BCU, le billet suivant du site Isidore et Ganesh. M\u00e9thodologie et outils num\u00e9riques en histoire de l'art pr\u00e9sente la plateforme\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Cours et s\u00e9minaires&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Cours et s\u00e9minaires","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/cours-et-seminaires\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Image-17.02.17-09-37.jpeg?fit=1200%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Image-17.02.17-09-37.jpeg?fit=1200%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Image-17.02.17-09-37.jpeg?fit=1200%2C480&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Image-17.02.17-09-37.jpeg?fit=1200%2C480&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Image-17.02.17-09-37.jpeg?fit=1200%2C480&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":17726,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2020\/10\/07\/guide-ouvrir-la-science-passeport-pour-la-science-ouverte\/","url_meta":{"origin":262,"position":2},"title":"Guide : Ouvrir la Science &#8211; Passeport pour la Science Ouverte","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"7 octobre 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Ce Passeport pour la science ouverte a \u00e9t\u00e9 con\u00e7u pour accompagner les doctorant\u2022es \u00e0 chaque \u00e9tape de leur parcours de recherche, quel que soit leur champ disciplinaire. Il propose une s\u00e9rie de bonnes pratiques et d\u2019outils directement activables. Cependant, \u00e0 mon avis, son int\u00e9r\u00eat d\u00e9passe largement l\u2019accompagnement des doctorant\u2022es. Et\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Humanit\u00e9s Digitales&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Humanit\u00e9s Digitales","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/humanites-digitales\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/passeport.png?fit=600%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/passeport.png?fit=600%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/passeport.png?fit=600%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15705,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2019\/02\/04\/climat-et-maladies-ont-fait-chuter-lempire-romain\/","url_meta":{"origin":262,"position":3},"title":"Climat et maladies ont fait chuter l\u2019Empire romain","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"4 f\u00e9vrier 2019","format":"quote","excerpt":"\u00ab On croyait que c\u2019\u00e9taient les Germains, en fait ce seraient des germes. Ils auraient eu raison de Rome, de sa puissance et de son Empire. Oubliez donc Alamans, Burgondes, Ostrogoths, Wisigoths et autres Vandales. Remplacez-les par Yersinia pestis, bacille de la peste bubonique, et quelques autres bact\u00e9ries et virus.\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Histoire savante&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Histoire savante","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/didactique\/histoire-savante\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/903566030.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/903566030.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/903566030.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/903566030.jpeg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/903566030.jpeg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":240,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2007\/09\/27\/qui-contrle-wikipedia-pointblogcom\/","url_meta":{"origin":262,"position":4},"title":"&quot;Qui contr&#244;le Wikipedia ?&quot; (Pointblog.com)","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"27 septembre 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"A la suite de la deuxi\u00e8me s\u00e9ance du MSHIS31 Didactique de l'histoire I, cette br\u00e8ve du site pointblog.com prolonge votre discussion sur la fiabilit\u00e9 des sites web et des encyclop\u00e9dies en ligne plus particuli\u00e8rement : 545 000 articles dans la version francophone de Wikip\u00e9dia qui serait contr\u00f4l\u00e9e par 158 administrateurs\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Nouvelles de l'histoire&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Nouvelles de l'histoire","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/nouvelles-de-lhistoire\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14273,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2018\/05\/17\/humanites-digitales-une-etude-multidisciplinaire-apporte-de-nouvelles-perspectives-sur-la-revolution-francaise\/","url_meta":{"origin":262,"position":5},"title":"Humanit\u00e9s digitales : Une \u00e9tude multidisciplinaire apporte de nouvelles perspectives sur la R\u00e9volution Fran\u00e7aise","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"17 mai 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Les humanit\u00e9s digitales (Histoire, sciences du langage, informatique) au service de la recherche historique ouvrent de nouvelles perspectives \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tude de la R\u00e9volution fran\u00e7aise. Des chercheurs, comprenant un professeur de l\u2019Universit\u00e9 d'Indiana, un doctorant et un \u00e9tudiant de premier cycle, ont utilis\u00e9 des techniques d'exploration de donn\u00e9es pour passer en\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Histoire savante&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Histoire savante","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/didactique\/histoire-savante\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/BD063688-9B37-4F55-89C2-EB2A0741B0E3.jpeg?fit=490%2C366&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=262"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/262\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}