{"id":3638,"date":"2011-03-17T11:25:41","date_gmt":"2011-03-17T10:25:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/?p=3638"},"modified":"2011-03-17T11:25:41","modified_gmt":"2011-03-17T10:25:41","slug":"pourquoi-avons-nous-besoin-de-predictions-owni-digital-journalism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2011\/03\/17\/pourquoi-avons-nous-besoin-de-predictions-owni-digital-journalism\/","title":{"rendered":"Pourquoi avons-nous besoin de pr\u00e9dictions? &#124; OWNI, Digital Journalism"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p><span style=\"font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 18px; color: #000000;\"><em style=\"font-weight: inherit; font-style: italic; font-size: 14px; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; padding: 0px; margin: 0px; border: 0px initial initial;\">\u201cil est \u00e9trange de constater comment les \u00e9v\u00e9nements prennent un sens tout \u00e0 fait logique avec le recul \u2013 et la frustration que ce constat engendre depuis des temps imm\u00e9moriaux\u201d<\/em>.<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>nous indique\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/roomfordebate\/2010\/12\/27\/why-do-we-need-to-predict-the-future\/the-power-of-i-told-you-so\"> Stacy Schiff<\/a> (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.stacyschiff.com\/\">site<\/a>) [en], l\u2019auteur de\u00a0<em>La grande improvisation : Franklin, la France et la naissance de l\u2019Am\u00e9rique <\/em>dans le dossier r\u00e9alis\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment par le New-York Times\u00a0dans un passionnant d\u00e9bat en ligne, qui revenait, 80 ans apr\u00e8s avoir invit\u00e9 huit innovateurs des ann\u00e9es 1930 \u00e0 pr\u00e9dire la vie en l\u2019an 2000, sur la question de notre avenir : \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/roomfordebate\/2010\/12\/27\/why-do-we-need-to-predict-the-future\"><em>Qu\u2019est-ce qui nous pousse \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir l\u2019avenir ?<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/owni.fr\/2011\/03\/17\/pourquoi-avons-nous-besoin-de-predictions\/\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/\/2011\/03\/nytimesroomfordebate.png?resize=464%2C319\" alt=\"\" width=\"464\" height=\"319\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pour Owni (et apr\u00e8s l&rsquo;avoir publi\u00e9 sur <a href=\"http:\/\/www.internetactu.net\/2011\/01\/18\/pourquoi-avons-nous-besoin-de-predictions\/\">InternetActu<\/a>), Hubert Guillaud nous en fournit une superbe synth\u00e8se et de magnifiques extraits.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/owni.fr\/2011\/03\/17\/pourquoi-avons-nous-besoin-de-predictions\/\">Pourquoi avons-nous besoin de pr\u00e9dictions? \u00bb Article \u00bb OWNI, Digital Journalism<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cil est \u00e9trange de constater comment les \u00e9v\u00e9nements prennent un sens tout \u00e0 fait logique avec le recul \u2013 et la frustration que ce constat engendre depuis des temps imm\u00e9moriaux\u201d. nous indique\u00a0 Stacy Schiff (site) [en], l\u2019auteur de\u00a0La grande improvisation : Franklin, la France et la naissance de l\u2019Am\u00e9rique dans le dossier r\u00e9alis\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment par [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_import_markdown_pro_load_document_selector":0,"_import_markdown_pro_submit_text_textarea":"","_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,17],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-3638","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nouvelles-de-lhistoire","8":"category-sur-le-web","9":"entry"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/signature_lk2.jpg?resize=600%2C184&ssl=1","featured_image_src_square":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/signature_lk2.jpg?resize=600%2C184&ssl=1","author_info":{"display_name":"Lyonel Kaufmann","author_link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/author\/lyonelk\/"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/signature_lk2.jpg?fit=658%2C184&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p1rJVM-WG","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5187,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2012\/03\/16\/un-an-avec-une-tablette-veille-et-analyse-tice\/","url_meta":{"origin":3638,"position":0},"title":"Un an avec une tablette\u2026 &#124; Veille et Analyse TICE","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"16 mars 2012","format":"quote","excerpt":"A l\u2019issue d\u2019une ann\u00e9e d\u2019usage personnel, je r\u00e9fl\u00e9chis \u00e0 la transposition de cette exp\u00e9rience dans le monde de l\u2019enseignement\/apprentissage. Et l\u00e0 je suis forc\u00e9 de constater que, malgr\u00e9 ses insuffisances, les choix des concepteurs, les promesses d\u2019un v\u00e9ritable outil nomade \u00e0 port\u00e9e de la main se r\u00e9alisent enfin. via\u00a0Un an\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Didactique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Didactique","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/didactique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7162,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2013\/06\/19\/revue-de-presse-le-deni-du-monde-aggiornamento-hist-geo\/","url_meta":{"origin":3638,"position":1},"title":"Revue de presse : Le d\u00e9ni du Monde &#124; aggiornamento hist-geo","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"19 juin 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Le dernier num\u00e9ro du D\u00e9bat est consacr\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019enseignement de l\u2019histoire, au \u00ab difficile enseignement de l\u2019histoire \u00bb. Car telle est la question\/affirmation pos\u00e9e par Pierre Nora \u00e0 l\u2019or\u00e9e de son \u00e9ditorial : \u00ab Pourquoi est-il devenu si difficile d\u2019enseigner l\u2019histoire dans les classes du primaire et du secondaire ?\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Nouvelles de l'histoire&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Nouvelles de l'histoire","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/nouvelles-de-lhistoire\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6191,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2012\/09\/26\/education-la-generation-facebook\/","url_meta":{"origin":3638,"position":2},"title":"Education : la G\u00e9n\u00e9ration Facebook","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"26 septembre 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"En cette nouvelle ann\u00e9e scolaire et avec une nouvelle vol\u00e9e d'\u00e9l\u00e8ves pour Laurence Juin, celle-ci nous fait part de ses premiers constats apr\u00e8s un mois lorsqu'elle parle \u00e0 ses \u00e9l\u00e8ves de la possibilit\u00e9 de communiquer avec eux et entre eux scolairement au moyen des m\u00e9dias sociaux: \u00ab\u00c0 cette rentr\u00e9e, je\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;M\u00e9dias et technologies&quot;","block_context":{"text":"M\u00e9dias et technologies","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/medias-et-technologies\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9883,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2015\/06\/29\/35-ans-de-jeux-videos-sur-la-premiere-guerre-mondiale-copy\/","url_meta":{"origin":3638,"position":3},"title":"35 ans de jeux vid\u00e9os sur la Premi\u00e8re Guerre mondiale","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"29 juin 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Olivier Glassey lors de son intervention \u00e0 la HEP Vaud du samedi 27 juin 2015 Dans le cadre de son intervention dans le cadre d\u2019une journ\u00e9e consacr\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019utilisation de jeux vid\u00e9os en \u00e9ducation (Apprendre avec les jeux vid\u00e9os ? Applications p\u00e9dagogiques et \u00e9ducatives, journ\u00e9e de formation continue organis\u00e9e \u00e0\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Didactique&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Didactique","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/didactique\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/DSCF8697.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/DSCF8697.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/DSCF8697.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/DSCF8697.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/06\/DSCF8697.png?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4536,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2010\/05\/02\/la-france-a-mis-beaucoup-dencre-dans-cette\/","url_meta":{"origin":3638,"position":4},"title":"Duc Tue Dang et l\u2019investigation historique: \u00ab&#160;La propagande r\u00e9gnait au d\u00e9triment de la v\u00e9rit\u00e9&#160;\u00bb &#124; SoKiosque","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"2 mai 2010","format":"quote","excerpt":"La France a mis beaucoup d\u2019encre dans cette d\u00e9faite. Curieusement, du cot\u00e9 des vainqueurs, c\u2019est le silence. Nous, les g\u00e9n\u00e9rations suivantes, on ne savait presque rien \u00e0 part quelques h\u00e9ros de nos manuels scolaires, et on ne sait m\u00eame pas si c\u2019est conforme. A part les m\u00e9moires officielles du g\u00e9n\u00e9ral\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Nouvelles de l'histoire&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Nouvelles de l'histoire","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/nouvelles-de-lhistoire\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":19467,"url":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/2023\/03\/06\/quel-regard-auront-les-archeologues-de-lan-4023-sur-notre-epoque-musee-romain-de-vidy\/","url_meta":{"origin":3638,"position":5},"title":"Quel regard auront les arch\u00e9ologues de l&rsquo;an 4023 sur notre \u00e9poque? Mus\u00e9e romain Lausanne-Vidy","author":"Lyonel Kaufmann","date":"6 mars 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"L'exposition \"Retour vers le futur ant\u00e9rieur\" se met dans la peau d'un arch\u00e9ologue du futur. Au Mus\u00e9e romain de Lausanne-Vidy, les visiteurs peuvent d\u00e9couvrir des vestiges du 20e et 21e si\u00e8cle, tels qu'ils pourraient \u00eatre interpr\u00e9t\u00e9s dans 2000 ans. C'est aussi une mani\u00e8re de sensibiliser le public \u00e0 la complexit\u00e9\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans &quot;Histoire active&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Histoire active","link":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/category\/didactique\/histoire-active\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/1668441224_mrv_futur_jevaisauxmusees570x425.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/1668441224_mrv_futur_jevaisauxmusees570x425.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/1668441224_mrv_futur_jevaisauxmusees570x425.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/1668441224_mrv_futur_jevaisauxmusees570x425.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/1668441224_mrv_futur_jevaisauxmusees570x425.jpg?fit=1200%2C894&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3638","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3638"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3638\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3638"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3638"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lyonelkaufmann.ch\/histoire\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3638"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}